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Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.TF Securities: The supply-side reform of cement has gradually entered the second stage, and the industry profits are expected to go out of the relative bottom. According to the TF Securities Research Report, the whole process of the supply-side reform of cement industry can be divided into two steps. In the first step, the effect of "reducing production" was achieved by controlling the new production capacity and promoting peak-shifting production nationwide, and the industry profits were pushed up to a new high in 2019. At present, the cement industry is gradually entering the second stage of supply-side reform, and it is expected to realize the withdrawal of actual production capacity with the help of market-oriented behaviors such as environmental protection, double carbon policy and enterprise merger and reorganization. In the short term, peak-shifting production is still the most effective means to adjust the balance between supply and demand. After entering 2025, with the gradual tightening of the policy of restricting overcapacity, enterprises are forced to withdraw from small and medium-sized production capacity by making up the indicators of overcapacity, and the industry is expected to begin to realize real capacity clearing. In 2027, it will enter the stage of deepening and perfecting carbon trading, and the effect of industry capacity optimization is expected to be further revealed. At present, the profit end of the cement industry has shown signs of stabilization. Under the dual promotion of policy-driven and self-restraint under the growth of corporate profit demands, the profit in the fourth quarter is expected to begin to walk out of the relative bottom. CONCH, Shangfeng Cement, huaxin cement, China Resources Building Materials Technology and Western Cement are recommended.Byte internal judges that the ceiling of AI dialogue products may not be high, so it is necessary to improve the priority of cutting and dreaming. It is learned from informed sources that Byte management judges that AI dialogue products (or chatbot products) may only be the "intermediate state" of AI products, and a more ideal product form for a long time requires a more visual user experience and a lower threshold for users to use. Therefore, Byte has promoted the product priority of Dreaming, and tried to create a "Tik Tok" in the AI ​ ​ era with a new path. In this regard, I asked the byte for verification, and the byte did not respond. (36Kr)

With the general election approaching, German Chancellor Angela Scholz supports reducing the value-added tax on basic groceries. German Chancellor Angela Scholz said in an interview on the evening of December 10th local time that he was in favor of reducing the value-added tax on basic groceries from 7% to 5% to help low-income families cope with inflation. The center-left leader also said that although the opposition Conservative Party has a big lead in the polls, he is confident of winning the early election on February 23rd.The chief operating officer of BlackRock seeks to improve its technical and artificial intelligence capabilities. The chief operating officer of BlackRock, the world's largest asset management company, said on Tuesday that the company is looking for opportunities to expand its technical capabilities, including in the field of artificial intelligence. Rob Goldstein, chief operating officer of BlackRock, said in an interview at a conference in new york: "There are always some capabilities that can be improved."GM will withdraw from the driverless taxi business, and the Cruise self-driving car division of GM will withdraw from the driverless taxi business. According to a statement on Tuesday, Cruise and GM's technical team will be combined to focus on developing autonomous driving and advanced driver safety technology for GM's future sales models. GM said that it will no longer provide funds for the development of self-driving taxis "considering the large amount of time and resources needed to expand its business scale and the increasingly fierce competition in the self-driving taxi market". The company said that giving up the development of self-driving taxis will save it more than $1 billion in annual costs.

Syrian opposition forces claimed to have taken control of the eastern Syrian city of Deir ez-Zor. According to Al Jazeera and Arabiya TV, on the 10th local time, Hassan Abdel Ghani, commander of Syrian opposition forces, said that "the eastern Syrian city of Deir ez-Zor has been completely controlled".Everbright Securities: The effect of trade-in subsidy for the whole year is much better than expected. Everbright Securities released a research report saying that the Politburo proposed to implement more relaxed policies, vigorously boost consumption and lead the development of new quality productivity. The intelligent direction of the automobile industry not only conforms to the development tone, but also plays an important role in boosting consumption. At the same time, the industry involves the "two new" themes of large-scale equipment renewal and trade-in of consumer goods, and the bank continues to be optimistic about investment opportunities in the automobile sector driven by favorable policies.The latest monitoring report released by the World Bank shows that Lebanon's GDP will drop by 6.6% in 2024. The latest Lebanon economic monitoring report released by the World Bank on the 10th shows that the real GDP of Lebanon will drop by 6.6% in 2024 due to the influence of lebanon war. According to the report, the large-scale displacement, destruction and the reduction of personal consumption caused by the conflict have had a devastating impact on Lebanon's economy and exacerbated the country's macroeconomic challenges. The report emphasizes that after the upgrading of lebanon war in September this year, Lebanese key industries, including tourism, have been seriously affected.